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Economic Research
Dr. Sherry Cooper's Quarterly Webcast
for January 21, 2009
Monthly Calendar
The Week Ahead
Fri., July 3

Independence Day observed (markets closed)

Focus
Mon., July 6

U.S. Non-mfg ISM Index
Tue., July 7

Cdn. Building Permits
Thu., July 9

Cdn. Housing Starts
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WHAT'S NEW
Friday, July 3
Friday, July 3
North American Outlook

Turning the Corner, Slowly [PDF]
Focus

July 3, 2009 [PDF]
Updated Forecasts

Cdn. Economic Outlook [PDF]

U.S. Economic Outlook [PDF]

Provincial Economic Outlook [PDF]
Thursday, July 2
Bottom Line

Employment and the Fed [PDF]
econoFACTS

U.S. Workers: Still An Endangered Species [PDF]
ECONOFACTS
Jul. 2 '09
U.S. Workers: Still An Endangered Species: U.S. nonfarm payrolls fell a much larger-than-expected 467,000 (or 0.4%) in June, stalling the recent trend towards moderating job losses... more [PDF]
Jun. 30 '09
Consumer Confidence Runs Out Of Fuel: The U.S. Conference Board index of consumer confidence unexpectedly declined for the first time in four months in June, retracing nearly six points to 49.3... more [PDF]
After Nine Months of Contraction, Expecting a Recovery: Canadian real GDP fell 0.1% in April, right in line with expectations, and the prior month’s 0.3% drop was left unrevised... more [PDF]
BOTTOM LINE
Jul. 2 '09
Employment and the Fed: Those who have been calling for a Fed exit strategy from the extraordinary degree of monetary ease should be silenced by the June employment results... more [PDF]
SPECIAL FEATURE
Jun. 10 '09
Let the Great Rate Debate Begin: With the US economy showing distinct signs that the recession may soon be over, the heated debate on when the Fed will start tightening policy has begun... more [PDF]
Dec. 22 '08
2009 Outlook: A World of Challenges: With most major economies staggering into a downturn, and global leading indicators still pointing deeply lower, it seems almost a foregone conclusion that recessionary forces will dominate the landscape in 2009... more [PDF]
RATES SCENARIO
Jun. 1 '09
Rates Scenario for June 2009: Look for no change in Bank of Canada policy this month, as only a major shock will push the Bank into the quantitative easing (QE) arena... more [PDF]
FOCUS
Jul. 3 '09
US Payrolls Disappoint… Jobless Rate at 26-Year High
Weak Data Weigh on Equities and Commodities After a Strong Q2
Canadian Economy Contracted for Ninth Straight Month in April
Ford Takes the North American Auto Sales Reins
ECB On Hold
more [PDF]
PROVINCIAL UPDATE
Apr. 27 '09
Canada-wide Recession Ends Regional Disparity: The regional disparity in Canadian economic growth dissipated in 2008, as plunging commodity prices stymied the boom in Western Canada, the auto sector stalled in Ontario and ongoing manufacturing-weakness plagued Atlantic Canada... more [PDF]
BUDGETS
May 4 '09
Nova Scotia: A Lighter Shade of Black: The Province of Nova Scotia is expecting its eighth consecutive year in the black with a projected surplus of $4 mln in FY2009/10... more [PDF]
GLOBAL EQUITY WEEKLY
Jun. 26 '09
Blood on the Trading Floor: Ok, maybe the title is a tad harsh, especially given that the mid-week declines in stocks this week were nothing in the context of where they have been during the past year... more [PDF]
THE GOODS
Jun. 17 '09
Commodities Head Higher: The BMO Capital Markets Commodity Price Index advanced 7.7% to 140.3... more [PDF]
NORTH AMERICAN OUTLOOK
Jul. 3 '09
Turning the Corner, Slowly:
The recession is waning though a recovery may be several months away and will be mild
Improved affordability has recharged Canada’s housing market and stabilized U.S. home sales
Central banks likely to hold steady well into 2010
The C$ could test parity next year, greased by $75 oil
more [PDF]
PROVINCIAL MONITOR
Summer 2009
Mapping the Recovery: The current recession has had a significant and widespread impact on the economies of all Canadian provinces... more [PDF]
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