The Bank of Canada

Labour Force Survey

Building Permits

Consumer Prices

Housing Starts

Industrial Product and Raw Materials Prices

Merchandise Trade

Monthly Survey of Manufacturing

Real GDP by Industry

Retail Trade
List by Country:
or Choose a Topic:

The manufacturing survey is released during the third week of the second month following the reference month and is a survey of 21 industry classifications. The survey measures the dollar value of factory shipments, inventories, and unfilled and new orders. It thus covers information on all stages of the manufacturing process, for a broad range of industries.

Unfilled orders will support future shipments. New orders represent orders received during the month, whether they were shipped or not, and are measured as shipments plus the change in unfilled orders. Not all orders translate into shipments, as foreign manufacturers may fill some contracts, and some orders can be cancelled.

The manufacturing component of the employment report provides information on the activity in that sector, while shipments are useful for determining Canadian industrial production and real GDP. Shipments have also proven to be very important for forecasting international merchandise trade, as over half of Canadian manufactured goods are exported.

The data in the report can be quite volatile month-to-month so one should focus on the underlying trend. A rising trend is a symptom of a favourable economic outlook. The breakdown by sector will indicate whether manufacturing activity is experiencing a broad-based expansion or contraction.

An increasing inventory/shipment ratio suggests that inventories are growing faster than shipments, which could lead to a future decrease in factory production.

Rising unfilled orders reflect backlogs that may support future production, particularly if accompanied by falling inventories. Of course, if the economy has been going through a period of rapid growth, rising unfilled orders and falling inventories may reflect production bottlenecks and future economic difficulties.